Tim Carroll picked out Best Effort who paid 4.7 on the local tote when winning on Sunday and Hong Kong racing returns to Happy Valley for an early afternoon Wednesday card - live on Sky Sports Racing - and Tim has three advised bets - now online.
Midweek racing from Hong Kong is at Happy Valley this Wednesday with the 8-race card getting underway at 12.15pm. The feature race of the day is race 4, The Hong Kong Rugby Union Cup due off at 1.45pm over 1 mile, and you cant catch all the action live on Sky Sports Racing.
We kick things off early on the card with my each-way selection (EW) LETS GO FREE who goes in race 1, the class 5 TSIM SHA TSUI Handicap over 1 mile (1650m) due off at 12.15pm.
The Jimmy Ting-trained runner drops into class 5 company for the first time this season and in what appears to be a wide open race he strikes me as the runner on today’s card who is the stand out each-way play.
Whilst the 7-year-old does not have a prolific strike rate in Hong Kong with only 3 wins from 36 starts, it is eye catching to note that of his last 3 runs in this class he has won twice. Considering the 2lb claim from his jockey Ben So, LETS GO FREE finds himself running off 36lb having previously won off 40 and 37 respectively.
In a race where there looks like being plenty of speed up front from the likes of the 1,3,10 and 12 I can see this working out nicely for those coming from off the pace. Ting’s gelding is likely to be ridden cold from the gate and in popping out of gate 3 certainly won’t be wasting any juice early.
I expect to see him come late to pick up the pieces, and with a favourable weight he should go close at what I hope to be decent odds.
My next best bet (NB) on the card, BLITZING goes in Race 5, The Class 3 Kowloon Bay Handicap over 6 furlongs, due off at 2.15pm.
The Tony Cruz-trained runner exemplifies the saying “Horses for Courses” as if you focus on his efforts at Happy Valley, he has a strike rate of 80% in finishing in the top 3. With that in mind I am willing to forgive his last run and focus on the improvements he continues to make when at this tight city track.
In what looks like being a field of only 9 I expect the selection to be ridden for early speed and to be well forward throughout the run, preferably dictating terms. I don’t anticipate there to be much speed which should work out well for the selection.
It is good to see Karis Teetan retaining the ride as, having been on board for all three of his wins to date he certainly has formed a strong partnership with the 4-year-old gelding.
He continues to show that there could be further improvement to come and I have him marked down as a future winner in higher graded races and see him with a great chance today to claim his 4thvictory of the season.
The last of my selections and my best bet (NAP) on the card is ORIENTAL ELITE who runs in race 6 on the card, The Class 4 Kowloon Tsai Handicap over 6 furlongs, due off at 2.45pm.
The Paul O’Sullivan-trained runner took a while to find the winning post but has now won 2 out of his last 3 starts and despite an 8lb rise in the ratings for today’s outing he still looks to be the best bet on the card.
There could well be plenty of early pace with the likes of the 6,7,10 and 11 all showing a preference to be ridden for early speed. Oriental Elite has produced his best results when settled in the midfield, so it is good to see jockey Zac Purton retaining the ride ensuring that the selection will be well positioned and settled just behind the leaders.
After winning comfortably when last out, despite drifting a little wide when turning for home, there was enough in the tank to suggest that a 3rdwin from 4 starts should be well within his reach today.
Tim's Best Bets:
12.15pm HAPPY VALLEY (Race 1)
LETS GO FREE (NB) (EACH WAY)
2.15pm HAPPY VALLEY (Race 5)
2.45pm HAPPY VALLEY (Race 6)
OREINTAL ELITE (NAP)
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