Hugh Taylor

Bay Of Naples was an 11-4 (2pts) winner for Hugh Taylor on Wednesday. Saturday sees Hugh with two advised bets, both at Newcastle - live on Sky Sports Racing.

Updated 9.05, 9.40 - all selections online

PRINCESS ELEKTRA showed her first form when shaping well with blinkers fitted at Wolverhampton on her handicap debut last time, and she looks an interesting runner at Newcastle today (4.40) with Ben Curtis, who has an excellent record the stable, booked.

She didn’t show much in her three qualifying runs, but was fitted with blinkers on her handicap debut and did enough to suggest she might be up to winning races off her lowly mark. She was held up at the back of the field in a race where the runners became well stretched out despite some of the middle fractions being very steady.

As a result, she was caught a long way back when the pace increased again inside the final three furlongs, but she made steady late headway without being knocked about to finish a never-nearer 7th.

She might be able to reverse the form with Pocketeer, who finished just in front of her under a slightly more prominent ride, and there’s encouragement to be drawn from the jockey booking, with Ben Curtis having a record of 9 wins from just 321 rides for George Scott, with a 22-point level stakes profit and an actual over expected figure of 1.56.

This doesn’t look the strongest of 3yo handicaps, and if the headgear works again, she should be involved in the finish.

RAIL DANCER doesn’t have an especially appealing profile for the 7f handicap at Newcastle (5.10), as he is a regressive nine-year-old whose six career wins have all come over 1m2f+. However, he has shown enough on his last couple of starts for his current stable to suggest that he can make an impact over this sort of trip at such a lowly level.

On his second start for his current yard over a mile here, he shaped well to finish fourth, having to be switched and staying on well. That was a much better race than this 0-50 classified event, and the placed horses finished first and second in a 0-60 handicap this week.

Last time he was dropped to 6f and was unsurprisingly sent off at big odds again over what seemed a totally unsuitable trip, but he actually ran with plenty of credit to finish sixth, racing towards the farside on a day when racing close to the stands side definitely seemed an advantage.

Indeed, the horse he went past on the far side in the closing stages, ran very well when a staying-on second over 5f at 16-1 on her next start.

Rail Dancer has a high draw this time, and is back up to 7f, which should at least be more suitable than 6f. He looks worth the chance to show that he can be effective over this trip at this level.

Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via Twitter.com (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a Final Furlong Podcast special in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.

FAQ: Click here to read Hugh's answers to your most frequently asked questions.

You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2020 results ROI 1.13 +66.37pts
2019 results ROI 1.16 +101.38pts
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts

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