Hugh Taylor

Amor Fati was an 11-4 winner for Hugh on Wednesday. Out top tipster returns with two bets for Good Friday's action, including a selection at Lingfield on All-Weather Championship Finals Day.

Updated 9.29, 9.57 - all selections now online.

Both the all-weather cards on Good Friday are absolute crackers, but although there were four or five horses I liked when I looked through the cards yesterday they have all been hammered in the overnight markets, so I’ve had to look again this morning.

EXCHEQUER is one of the more exposed runners in the field in the 7f apprentice handicap at Lingfield (1.30) and has a wide draw to overcome, but he ran an excellent race at Kempton last time and if he can get to the front or one off the rail from stall 12, he could outrun his odds by some way.

He made the running at Kempton and was collared only in the final 50 yards, and although that race produced something of a bunch finish, the time was very good and most of the horses involved in the finish were either in form, or had dropped significantly in the handicap. Exchequer runs off the same mark here, and whilst his chance will depend on whether he can avoid being forced wide, there’s a chance he and Sha La La La Lee will get across to dispute the lead after the first two furlongs, and if Exchequer can get near the front he could go well at big odds.

In the valuable 1m4f handicap at Newcastle (3.55) it might be worth taking a chance on BAGHDAD, despite the fact that he is returning from a long lay-off.

He was a typical Mark Johnston middle-distance improver last season, pulling a long way clear with another progressive stable mate at York, then winning the hugely competitive King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot (a race in which subsequent Melbourne Cup winner Cross Counter finished fifth).

Sadly he fractured a cannonbone that day and hasn’t been seen since, but he’s the potential class horse in the race here and it’s interesting to see that he has been given an entry in the Group 2 Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket, which closed just ten days ago.

That suggests he has been showing plenty at home, and it’s worth noting that he already has form on the all-weather, winning as a 2yo at Chelmsford and then shaping well whilst unsuited by the very steady pace at Wolverhampton. He’s had just seven career starts, five of which were for Johnston, and only three over middle distances, and if he’s ready to do himself justice he appeals as potentially the best-handicapped horse in the race.

Hugh gives a daily indication of when the column will be published via (username is HughRacing). You can also listen to a Final Furlong Podcast special in which Hugh explains the methodology behind the column here.

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Hugh recorded a profit of +345pts in 2018, and a ROI of 1.55, his highest ever. With regards to Betfair SP, Hugh recorded a profit of +66pts (ROI of 1.11) before commission. You can view his monthly figures by clicking the links below:
2019 results
2018 results ROI 1.55 +345pts
2017 results ROI 1.46 +282pts
2016 results ROI 1.44 +281pts
2015 results ROI 1.34 +207pts
2014 results ROI 1.32 +199.79pts
2013 results ROI 1.32 +210pts
2012 results ROI 1.31 +222.65pts
2011 results ROI 1.28 +302.64 pts
2010 results ROI 1.23 +324.79 pts
2009 results ROI 1.26 +500.36 pts

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Lingfield 13:30, 19 April 2019

Newcastle 15:55, 19 April 2019

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