Paul Quigley's US Racing Preview

Paul has selections with analysis for Saturday night's Stateside action from Aqueduct, Keeneland, Santa Anita and Woodbine - live on Sky Sports Racing.

PAUL'S ANALYSIS FROM Aqueduct, Keeneland, Santa Anita and Woodbine
Saturday 20 April 2019


There are stakes events from a quartet of venues Stateside, live on Sky Sports Racing on Saturday. Aqueduct hosts the most but the graded action takes place elsewhere. Trainer Mike Maker is three-handed in The Dixiana Elkhorn (Grade 2) at Keeneland, a mile and a half event on the turf. His first string is Zulu Alpha who has won a trio of stakes since being claimed for $80,000 last autumn.

The last stake in this preview is named after crack sprinter Kona Gold who won The Breeders’ Cup Sprint in 2000. None of the entrants look likely to emulate him back at Santa Anita in November although Bob Baffert’s Dr. Dorr is classy and is unexposed in two turn races.


Aqueduct Race 6 (9.09pm)
The Woodhaven – A stake for 3 year olds – 1 1/16 Miles - Turf

There is rain forecast. If this event is switched to the dirt, main track only entrant Mount Travers (2) will be a player. So will Tybalt (1), Family Biz (5) and Five Star General (8). That trio are worth a look no matter what the surface. The first named will be making his turf debut but is bred to handle the grass. Five Star General was a stakes winner on dirt as a juvenile. His trainer has twice tried to run him on turf but the races were rained off

The lightly raced Forty Under (3) won a Grade 3 at Belmont last September. He was far from disgraced in The Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf last November. That was his last start. He’s the class of this race but maybe he’s a tad vulnerable first time back. That could also be the case with local stakes winner Empire of War (6) who’s been away almost as long. He’s trained by Todd Pletcher. His barn mate Clint Maroon (4) is on a hat-trick. He followed up a maiden breaker with a decisive allowance success at Gulfstream last month.

English Bee (7) may have won a stake at Tampa last month if he had settled better. He can’t be ruled out in a tricky contest.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Clint Maroon (4)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Woodbine Race 8 (9.51pm)
The Whimsical (Grade 3) –Fillies and Mares – 4 year olds and upwards – 6 Furlongs - Tapeta

Alnilah (1), Zestina (2) and Magic Spell (6) lack a race this term. The last two named are proven fresh but the pair with a recency edge may be ones to concentrate on. Sly Beauty (4) won a stake over course and distance in a three year old season that ended last June. She made a fine comeback when third at Gulfstream last month. She’s worked really well at Keeneland since and is a very logical contender.

Shakopee Town (5) may offer up some value here. She’s been running well in Louisiana this term including two victories. They were on dirt but worked really well on The Tapeta here last Saturday. She is taken to outstay Sly Beauty.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Shakopee Town (5)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Aqueduct Race 8 (10.15pm)
The New York Stallion - A stake for New York bred 3 year old fillies – 6 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

With three career wins from four starts including a stakes victory, Stonesintheroad (8) is the standard setter here. Her career best effort came in wire to wire fashion in February where she wired a similar field to this. She failed to last in open company last month. The mount of Rajiv Maragh is the one to catch and beat but may not even go off as the favourite here. That’s because Newly Minted (5) made such a striking debut. She won by almost six lengths in a fast time on the day. It did come on a muddy track so if conditions are different, it could be an issue. More importantly, her unveiling was only last Saturday. Her trainer Linda Rice has a fine record with second time starters but a modest one with horses returning on short rest. That’s a big worry, especially with a three year old filly.

Kid Is Frosty (6) followed up a maiden breaker with a fine runner up in an allowance event here three weeks ago. She has solid place claims at least. Just as interesting are a pair of maidens in here. Alphadora (7) has been runner up in back to back starts. Bangle Gal (9) ran third on her debut in February. It came in open company at The Fair Grounds. She looked green that day, getting well behind early and staying on strongly. She’s been working like gangbusters in Kentucky since then. She has to improve a lot to beat Newly Minted and Stonesintheroad but just may do.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Bangle Gal (9)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Keeneland Race 9 (10.30pm)
The Dixiana Elkhorn (Grade 2) – 4 year olds and upwards – 1 ½ Miles - Turf

Mike Maker has a trio of contenders entered here. First among equals is the hat-trick seeking Zulu Alpha (10). He’s looked a new horse since being claimed for $80,000 last September. He’s won his last three staying stakes, all graded events including over course and distance last October. At Gulfstream in January, he beat barn mate Soglio (4) by half a length with Canessar (5) who had a troubled trip back in fifth. Zulu Alpha has worked well since winning a Grade 2 at Gulfstream last month.

Soglio (4) ran below form on his return last month. So was Canessar (5), although for the second race running, he had to be steadied at a crucial stage. He is a big danger with a clear run. So at his best is the third Maker entrant Bigger Picture (7). He ran some fine races in defeat last term but seemed to have no excuses behind Zulu Alpha last autumn.

Red Knight (8) has been absent since beating Soglio a head last December. That was over two miles but he has form over much shorter.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Zulu Alpha (10)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Aqueduct Race 9 (10.48pm)
The New York Stallion - A stake for New York bred 3 year olds – 6 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

Bankit (4) has been in much tougher stakes lately such as Oaklawn’s Grade 3 Southwest and The Grade 2 Louisiana Derby at The Fair Grounds. The last time he faced New York breds, he slammed a stakes field at Belmont by getting on for six lengths. That was over a mile and he’s been getting behind and staying on in two turn races since. This is a big drop in class but six and a half furlongs could be too short, unless this race totally falls apart late.

Blindwillie McTell (8) is pacey but Irad Ortiz should be able to work a stalking trip if the inside drawn pair are gunned for the lead. He ran second in a maiden on debut in November and has won back to back stakes since. On both occasions, he’s had Thorny Tale (11) a couple of lengths behind him. He’s suffered wide trips and is well worth considering here. Both runners have been absent since January but Thorny Tale is proven fresh.

Kosciuszko (1) has run a pair of fine races since running below form behind Blindwillie McTell in December. Hushion (2) ran third to him in February before beating Funny Guy (5) last month.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Thorny Tale (11)
EXOTIC BETS
Reversed Exacta (2 Bets) Blindwillie McTell (8) and Thorny Tale (11)

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


Santa Anita Race 5 (11.00pm)
The Kona Gold (Grade 2) – 3 year olds and upwards – 6 ½ Furlongs - Dirt

The pair that are likely to head the market ran second and third in a Grade 2 here over seven furlongs last month. Dr. Dorr (1) did the better. He’d been away since last August so may come on a lot for the run. Last spring he won a Grade 2 by a wide margin and ran second to Accelerate in a Grade 1. There is no questioning his class but there is a possibility this trip is too short bearing in mind he campaigned as a two turn horse in stakes events.

Kanthaka (5) who finished a length or so behind the rail drawn runner last time is a proven one turn performer. The worry with him is he’s been getting behind in his races and this event doesn’t set up well for a closer. By contrast, All Out Blitz (3) who lacks the class of the big two may outrun his odds on or near modest fractions. He may have to stalk Cistron (2) who on paper looks quicker early. He’s a tough read as he’s been running on turf and hasn’t raced on dirt for a long time. He’s not won for a long time but may get very brave if he makes the lead on his own.

PAUL'S SELECTION
Dr. Dorr (1)
EXOTIC BETS
No Exotics

BET ON US RACING
You can place single and some exotic bets with many of the following UK bookmakers:
Betfair | William Hill | Bet365 | Ladbrokes | Paddy Power |
Coral | Betway | Betfred | BoyleSports | RaceBets


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