Irish racing expert Tony Keenan has three advised bets for Thursday's Leopardstown card - now online.
Tonight is the most low-key of the seven Leopardstown Thursday fixtures, understandable given we are amidst Royal Ascot, and there isn’t even a post-racing appearance from Coolio to add to the occasion.
This week’s entertainment is supplied by The Blizzards, apt given the weather Ascot has had over the past two days, but as ever my interest is betting rather than music.
LAW BREAKER only won by a head on debut at Fairyhouse but was value for much more and looks the overpriced runner in the Foran Equine EBF Auction Race at 5:40.
Dropped out near last, he did well to overhaul two more prominently-ridden and experienced rivals, completing the second half of the race in a sectional time nearly a second quicker than anything else in the field.
Even the bare form of that is as good as any of the others with a run in this race and unlike them he got to that level on his first start. Like the other winners in the field, he is stepping up in trip but his breeding suggests he will stay and his trainer has been in good form this turf season with half of his 18 runners making the frame.
There is a chance Memsie will be ideally suited by the seven-furlong trip in the Get Your Free Trial Now at RacingTV.com Maiden (6:15) and Colin Keane is an eye-catching jockey booking for the Browne runner but that does seem in his price already and THE MPEX KID makes more appeal at current odds.
He looked in need of the experience first time up a Gowran early last month, travelling well in rear but not given anything like a hard time in the finish and took a step forward last time at Cork when things didn’t go entirely his way.
Racing in mid-division, he was squeezed out in the middle part of the race and had to come from rear, conceding first run to the two that beat him. The form has worked out well, the second winning since and both the fourth and sixth posting improved efforts, and with another step forward likely he can go well.
NIMITZ shaped well on seasonal return in a better race over Guineas weekend and should come on enough for that to go close in the Ryan Cleaning Event Specialists Handicap at 8:20.
Held up in rear on the Curragh round track that tends to favour those ridden forward and not helped by the early pace being slow, he was making a move up the rail in the straight before meeting trouble.
That was a good comeback run in the circumstances and with fitness on his side he now encounters his ideal conditions of 10 furlongs on a fast surface. He has won four races in his career, none by more than a length, and is the sort that handicapper can never be too harsh on, an official mark of 79 looking fair judged on some of his efforts last year.
Tony Keenan’s next tipping column will be on Saturday, June 22nd.
Tony's Best Bets (scale 1-5 points):
1pt win LAW BREAKER (3-1 general - use *BOG firms)
1pt win THE MPEX KID (9-2 general - use *BOG firms)
1pt each-way NIMITZ (11-2 general - use *BOG firms)
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